Idaho
Source: IPEDS Completions, 3-yr avg AY 2022–25 (NCES; 2024–25 provisional), bachelor’s degrees, CIP 14 + 11; China 33.2%: PRC Ministry of Education, 2022 bachelor’s graduates by discipline (NSF NCSES S&E Indicators Fig. HED-30: 32.8%, 2020); Population: Census NST-EST2025.
Idaho at China’s rate would graduate 4,707 engineers a year. It graduates 1,525.
Idaho produces 1,525 engineering and computer science bachelor's degrees a year out of 14,177 total, a mid-pack engineering producer, from 7 institutions. At China's rate it would produce 4,707. Output is growing (+22.0% over three years). Gap Score: 32% of the China benchmark. Its own economy is projected to open 2,570 engineering, computing and technician jobs a year through 2034; in-state degrees, associate and bachelor's together, cover 76% of them.
The gap against China’s benchmark
Three-year trend: eng+CS share of degrees
Idaho is missing 3,181 engineers a year at China's rate, roughly 4x the annual output of Brigham Young University-Idaho.
Where Idaho’s engineers are made.
7 institutions produce engineering or computer science bachelor’s degrees in Idaho. The top 7 account for 100% of output.
Every producing institution. Circle area = eng+CS bachelor’s degrees per year
Top producers
| # | Institution | Eng+CS / yr | % of its degrees |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brigham Young University-Idaho | 877 | 13.9% |
| 2 | Boise State University | 343 | 8.6% |
| 3 | University of Idaho | 191 | 12.7% |
| 4 | Idaho State University | 67 | 5.7% |
| 5 | Northwest Nazarene University | 25 | 9.8% |
| 6 | Lewis-Clark State College | 15 | 2.7% |
| 7 | The College of Idaho | 6 | 2.5% |
Jobs vs. degrees
Idaho's own labor-market projection, 2024–2034, for engineers, computer occupations and engineering technicians, against the degrees the state produces at every level.
Openings against output
Where the openings are
| Occupation | Openings / yr |
|---|---|
| Software Developers | 460 |
| Civil Engineers | 200 |
| Computer User Support Specialists | 200 |
| Industrial Engineers | 160 |
| Computer Systems Analysts | 120 |
| Architectural and Civil Drafters | 110 |
Coverage: degrees ÷ openings
Openings are the state labor agency’s own 10-year projection: new jobs plus replacing workers who retire or leave the field (BLS method). Not every opening goes to a new graduate, so this is a coverage measure; it does not count vacant positions. Occupations: engineers (SOC 17-2), computer occupations (SOC 15-12) and engineering technicians (SOC 17-3, the associate-degree tier), the jobs CIP 14 + 11 degrees feed; degrees here include associate degrees to match. Source: Idaho labor-market projections via Projections Central (U.S. Dept. of Labor).
Idaho's chip and nuclear projects need more engineers than it graduates
Idaho has drawn a $45 billion Micron fab campus, a nuclear buildout anchored at Idaho National Laboratory, and hyperscale data centers. The state produces about 1,500 engineering and CS bachelor's degrees a year to feed all of it.
The drain.
Idaho keeps most of its homegrown graduates but loses most of the students it imports, and the state's own analysis says the Idaho LAUNCH grant is what finally tilted enrollment back in state.
Sources: Idaho Department of Labor / Idaho State Board of Education SLDS retention analysis; Idaho Governor's Office (2026)
Who’s covering it.
Reporters already cover this, but no one has combined it into a single number the way the Index does.
The fix, in Idaho.
Add service years to LAUNCH
Idaho LAUNCH already pays up to $8,000 toward training for careers the Idaho Workforce Development Council deems in demand, and the state credits it with an 11% jump in in-state enrollment. A Digital ROTC tier would trade a larger award at CWI, CSI and College of Eastern Idaho for a committed service period at Micron, INL or Idaho utilities, turning a grant legislators have criticized into a contract with a guaranteed return.
Scale Micron's apprenticeship pipeline
Micron's first registered-apprentice cohort graduated five people against a $45 billion two-fab campus needing thousands of technicians and engineers by 2027. Tie any future state incentive or infrastructure support to enrolling hundreds per year through Idaho's community colleges on a service-for-tuition basis, with Micron covering the balance as it already does.
Build the nuclear power school
INL's director has publicly proposed a Navy-style nuclear power school in the West using College of Eastern Idaho, Idaho State, Boise State and University of Idaho. Digital ROTC is the funding mechanic: full tuition at those institutions in exchange for service years at INL or the reactor startups building on its desert site, locking graduates into Idaho during the exact years the lab hires hundreds annually.
What Digital ROTC would fund
Digital ROTC: federal student loans that cover two years of engineering, computer science, or cybersecurity school at a community college, whether those years end in an associate degree or transfer into a bachelor’s program. The loans are forgiven in full after 24 to 36 months of service in government technology roles. In Idaho, 22% of engineering-track credentials are associate degrees today. Digital ROTC is built to expand that community-college route.