Ohio
Source: IPEDS Completions, 3-yr avg AY 2022–25 (NCES; 2024–25 provisional), bachelor’s degrees, CIP 14 + 11; China 33.2%: PRC Ministry of Education, 2022 bachelor’s graduates by discipline (NSF NCSES S&E Indicators Fig. HED-30: 32.8%, 2020); Population: Census NST-EST2025.
Ohio at China’s rate would graduate 21,367 engineers a year. It graduates 7,559.
Ohio produces 7,559 engineering and computer science bachelor's degrees a year out of 64,359 total, a mid-pack engineering producer, from 60 institutions. At China's rate it would produce 21,367. Output is shrinking (-0.7% over three years). Gap Score: 35% of the China benchmark. Its own economy is projected to open 14,360 engineering, computing and technician jobs a year through 2034; in-state degrees, associate and bachelor's together, cover 60% of them.
The gap against China’s benchmark
Three-year trend: eng+CS share of degrees
Ohio is missing 13,808 engineers a year at China's rate, roughly 7x the annual output of Ohio State University-Main Campus.
Where Ohio’s engineers are made.
60 institutions produce engineering or computer science bachelor’s degrees in Ohio. The top 8 account for 75% of output.
Every producing institution. Circle area = eng+CS bachelor’s degrees per year
Top producers
| # | Institution | Eng+CS / yr | % of its degrees |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ohio State University-Main Campus | 1,872 | 16.5% |
| 2 | University of Cincinnati-Main Campus | 1,309 | 20.5% |
| 3 | Case Western Reserve University | 487 | 35.0% |
| 4 | University of Toledo | 457 | 18.9% |
| 5 | Miami University-Oxford | 447 | 10.8% |
| 6 | University of Akron Main Campus | 410 | 21.2% |
| 7 | University of Dayton | 394 | 20.1% |
| 8 | Cleveland State University | 301 | 14.1% |
Jobs vs. degrees
Ohio's own labor-market projection, 2024–2034, for engineers, computer occupations and engineering technicians, against the degrees the state produces at every level.
Openings against output
Where the openings are
| Occupation | Openings / yr |
|---|---|
| Software Developers | 2,750 |
| Industrial Engineers | 1,510 |
| Computer User Support Specialists | 1,190 |
| Computer Systems Analysts | 990 |
| Mechanical Engineers | 980 |
| Network and Computer Systems Administrators | 650 |
Coverage: degrees ÷ openings
Openings are the state labor agency’s own 10-year projection: new jobs plus replacing workers who retire or leave the field (BLS method). Not every opening goes to a new graduate, so this is a coverage measure; it does not count vacant positions. Occupations: engineers (SOC 17-2), computer occupations (SOC 15-12) and engineering technicians (SOC 17-3, the associate-degree tier), the jobs CIP 14 + 11 degrees feed; degrees here include associate degrees to match. Source: Ohio labor-market projections via Projections Central (U.S. Dept. of Labor).
What the gap is costing Ohio
Ohio has spent billions in incentives on megaprojects that need engineers, while its own supply of engineers has stalled. The state already opens 14,360 engineering, computing and technician jobs a year and graduates 8,611.
The drain.
Ohio also loses many of the engineers it educates to other states. Economists on the Ohio Capital Journal's 2024 panel argued that skilled immigration was masking the outflow of educated native-born Ohioans.
Sources: Ohio Department of Higher Education 2022 Year in Review via Columbus Dispatch; U.S. Census Bureau Vintage 2025 population estimates; Ohio Capital Journal economists' panel (May 2024)
Who’s covering it.
Reporters already cover this, but no one has combined it into a single number the way the Index does.
The fix, in Ohio.
Scale the associate pathway
Columbus State's one-year semiconductor technician certificate is a model worth copying: stackable credits designed with industry. But associate-level credentials are only 12% of Ohio's engineering pipeline. A Digital ROTC cohort model, service for tuition, could triple it using the community colleges and universities Ohio already has.
Tie incentives to pipeline
Ohio attached almost no workforce-supply conditions to $3B+ in megaproject incentives. Every future deal should carry a matched pipeline investment.
Pay people to stay
Ohio loses 12% of its graduates net. Service-linked tuition forgiveness, the ROTC mechanic, is the only retention tool with a track record: you earn the degree in Ohio, you owe Ohio the first years of your career.
What Digital ROTC would fund
Digital ROTC: federal student loans that cover two years of engineering, computer science, or cybersecurity school at a community college, whether those years end in an associate degree or transfer into a bachelor’s program. The loans are forgiven in full after 24 to 36 months of service in government technology roles. In Ohio, 12% of engineering-track credentials are associate degrees today. Digital ROTC is built to expand that community-college route.